永定河张家口段污染物允许排放量优化分配与评价

Research on optimal allocation and evaluation of allowable pollutant discharge in Zhangjiakou section of Yongding River

  • 摘要: 利用环境基尼系数分析了永定河流域张家口段的土地面积、人口数量、国内生产总值(GDP)对区域内水体污染物化学需氧量(CODCr)排放量的影响;同时通过环境效率利用最大化与基尼系数最小化模型,优化各控制单元的分配系数,通过环境基尼系数法制定相对公平的削减分配方案;计算各控制单元对CODCr排放量的贡献系数,判定不公平因子并分析其空间差异性,从而提出区域发展模式合理性建议。结果表明:各控制单元基于土地面积、人口数量和GDP的环境基尼系数分别为0.504 4、0.306 8和0.234 1,基于土地面积的环境基尼系数远超警戒值;经优化分配后得到的CODCr排放量削减方案中,张家口市宣化区应削减率最高,达16%;经贡献系数分析,张家口市中心地区贡献系数小于0.5,不公平特性最为突出。建议对区域产业结构进行适当调整,提高资源利用率,减少污染物排放量。

     

    Abstract: The environmental Gini coefficient was used to analyze the influence of land, population and gross domestic product (GDP) on chemical oxygen demand (CODCr) discharge of water pollutants in Zhangjiakou section of Yongding River Basin. At the same time, the distribution coefficient of each control unit was optimized by maximizing the utilization of environmental efficiency and minimizing Gini coefficient model, and a relatively fair distribution reduction scheme was made by environmental Gini coefficient method. The contribution coefficient of each control unit was calculated, the unfairness factor was judged, the spatial difference of the unfairness factor in the study area was analyzed, and the reasonable suggestions on regional development model were put forward. The results showed that the environmental Gini coefficient of each control unit based on land area, population and GDP was 0.504 4, 0.306 8 and 0.234 1, respectively, and the Gini coefficient based on land area was far beyond the warning value. Among CODCr discharge reduction schemes obtained after optimized allocation, Xuanhua District of Zhangjiakou City should have the highest reduction rate of 16%. According to the analysis of contribution coefficient, the contribution coefficient of Zhangjiakou downtown area was less than 0.5, and the unfairness was the most prominent. It was suggested that the regional industrial structure should be adjusted appropriately to improve the utilization rate of resources and reduce the discharge of pollutants.

     

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