辽东湾近岸海域石化产业环境风险综合评价

Comprehensive environmental risk assessment of petrochemical industry in Liaodong Bay coastal waters

  • 摘要: 为探究临港石化产业对海洋生态环境造成的不利影响,以2014—2018年辽东湾近岸海域生态环境监测数据为基础,结合环境灾害学理论体系与数理统计法构建了环境风险评价模型。并借助ArcGIS空间矢量叠加分析技术,开展了辽东湾近岸海域环境风险状况评价研究。结果表明:辽东湾近岸海域环境风险承载能力整体较为脆弱,从远海至近岸海域环境脆弱性加重;同时,从近年环境监测数据来看,其生态环境状况有向不利方向发展的趋势;研究海域整体处于中风险态势,高风险区域约占总海域面积的17.6%,主要分布于双台子河口至辽河口海域,分布状况与临港石化产业及其输油线路密切相关。建议管理部门对高风险区域予以密切关注,并建立起与之配套的风险防控、应急快速处置与防灾减灾的综合管理体系。

     

    Abstract: In order to evaluate the adverse impacts of port petrochemical industry on the marine eco-environment, theoretical system of environmental disaster and mathematical statistics were used to build an environmental risk assessment model, which was based on the eco-environment monitoring data of Liaodong Bay coastal waters in 2014-2018. The environmental risk assessment of the coastal waters in Liaodong Bay was carried out by using the technology of ArcGIS space vector superposition analysis technology. The results showed that the overall environmental risk carrying capacity of Liaodong Bay coastal waters was vulnerable, with the vulnerability increasing from open sea to the nearshore. At the same time, according to the environmental monitoring data in recent years, the eco-environmental status had a tendency to develop in an unfavorable direction. Meanwhile, the study sea area was in a medium risk situation as a whole, and approximately 17.6% of the coastal waters were at high risk, mainly distributed in the sea area from Shuangtaizi Estuary to Liaohe Estuary, with the distribution closely related to the position of port petrochemical industry and its transportation route. Therefore, it was suggested that the management departments should pay close attention to the high-risk areas, and establish a comprehensive management system for risk prevention and control, rapid emergency disposal and disaster prevention and reduction.

     

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