基于COPERT模型北京市机动车大气污染物和二氧化碳排放研究

Investigation on air pollutants and carbon dioxide emissions from motor vehicles in Beijing based on COPERT model

  • 摘要: 机动车大气污染物及CO2减排对于改善空气质量和缓解气候变化具有重要的作用。综合利用北京市机动车保有量、道路行驶工况、气象、燃料组分及燃料消耗量等数据,应用COPERT模型计算得到北京市机动车主要大气污染物和CO2排放量,并识别其污染排放特征和不同车型、排放标准等级车辆的排放贡献,采用ADMS-Urban模型模拟了机动车污染排放对周边环境的影响。结果表明:2019年北京市机动车4项主要大气污染物CO、NOx、PM2.5和VOCs排放量分别为12.15万、4.06万、0.18万和2.57万t。车辆结构得到优化,国四及以上排放标准车辆占比达86.97%,数量占4%的柴油客货车排放贡献大,分别占机动车NOx和PM2.5排放总量的84%和60%;非末端排放占机动车VOCs排放量的20%,需要引起关注。机动车尾气排放对5个交通监测站点贡献的NO2平均浓度为15.7 μg/m3,其对环境质量影响较大;机动车CO2排放量为1 683万t,其中柴油车排放贡献约21%。对北京市机动车大气污染物和碳排放需要进一步协同控制。

     

    Abstract: Air pollutants and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions reduction from motor vehicles play an important role in improving air quality and mitigating climate change. The data of vehicle population, road-driving conditions, meteorological, fuel composition and fuel consumption were comprehensively used to calculate the main air pollutants and CO2 emissions of motor vehicles in Beijing based on COPERT Model. The emission characteristics, emission contribution of the vehicles of different types, and emission standard levels were identified. Urban-ADMS model was used to simulate and quantify the effect on surrounding environment by motor vehicles. The results showed that: the emissions of CO, NOx, PM2.5 and VOCs from motor vehicles of Beijing was 121 500, 40 600, 1 800 and 25 700 tons, respectively, in 2019. The structure of vehicles had been optimized. Vehicles with National IV and above standards accounted for 86.97%. Diesel passenger and freight vehicles accounting for 4% contributed greatly to the emissions, accounting for 84% and 60% of the total emissions of NOx and PM2.5, respectively. Evaporative emissions from gasoline vehicles accounted for 20% of VOCs emissions from motor vehicles, which required attention. Vehicle exhaust emissions contributed 15.7 μg/m3 to the average NO2 concentration at five traffic monitoring stations which had a great impact on air quality. CO2 emissions of motor vehicles were 16.83 million tons, of which diesel vehicle emissions contributed about 21%. Air pollutants and carbon emissions of motor vehicles need further coordinated control.

     

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