黄河流域山西矿区自然资本占用动态评估及驱动机制

Dynamic evaluation and driving mechanism of natural capital occupation in Shanxi mining areas of the Yellow River Basin

  • 摘要: 自然资本是经济社会绿色可持续发展的必要保障,对其进行评估是维持区域生态系统平衡的重要内容。以矿区自然资本为视角,运用三维生态足迹模型,测算黄河流域山西矿区生态足迹深度与广度并分析其变化特征,进一步阐释矿区生态占用动态演变的作用机理。结果表明:黄河流域山西矿区人均生态赤字由2010年的4.40 hm2/人增至2016年的6.31 hm2/人,随后降至2019年的5.02 hm2/人,生态足迹与生态承载力的差距总体趋于缩小。2010—2019年,人均生态足迹广度大致呈递减趋势,由0.63 hm2/人降到0.47 hm2/人,而人均生态足迹深度呈现出先增后减的倒U型变化趋势。黄河流域山西矿区自然资本时空动态演变过程的驱动机制是由生态环境供给、资源禀赋、社会发展、经济增长、能源损耗以及煤炭污染等诸多因素共同作用的结果。其中,煤炭污染、能源损耗、资源禀赋和经济增长中的第二产业增加值与矿区自然资本占用动态演变呈正相关,生态环境供给、社会发展中的环境规制指数与其呈负相关。总之,黄河流域山西矿区生态足迹与生态承载力的差距趋于缩小,但生态占用赤字仍然存在。

     

    Abstract: Natural capital is a necessary guarantee for the green and sustainable development of the economy and society, and its assessment is an important part of maintaining the balance of the regional ecosystem. From the perspective of natural capital for the mining areas, a three-dimensional ecological footprint model was used to calculate the depth and breadth of the ecological footprint of Shanxi mining areas in the Yellow River Basin, its dynamic evolution characteristics were analyzed, and the mechanism of the dynamic evolution of the ecological occupation of the mining areas was further explained. The results showed that: the per capita ecological deficit of Shanxi mining areas in the Yellow River Basin increased from 4.40 hm2 in 2010 to 6.31 hm2 in 2016, and then decreased to 5.02 hm2 in 2019. The gap between ecological footprint and ecological carrying capacity tended to narrow overall. The breadth of the per capita ecological footprint generally showed a declining trend, from 0.63 hm2 in 2020 to 0.47 hm2 in 2019, and the depth of the per capita ecological footprint showed an inverted U-shaped change trend that first increased and then decreased. The driving mechanism of the spatiotemporal dynamic evolution process of natural capital in Shanxi mining areas in the Yellow River Basin was driven by many factors such as ecological environment supply, resource endowment, social development, economic growth, energy loss and coal pollution. The dynamic evolution of natural capital occupation was positively correlated with coal pollution, energy loss, resource endowment and the secondary industry added value of economic growth, and negatively correlated with ecological environment supply and the environmental regulations of social development. The gap between the ecological footprint and carrying capacity of Shanxi mining areas in the Yellow River Basin tended to improve, but the ecological occupation deficit still existed.

     

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