基于时空数据挖掘的大气重污染传输过程时空规律分析

Analysis of transmission spatio-temporal pattern of atmospheric heavy pollution events based on spatiotemporal data mining

  • 摘要: 为掌握区域性空气污染传输扩散时空规律,支撑大气污染区域联防联控及应急管控,基于空气质量地面观测数据和时空数据挖掘算法,识别重污染气团的区域传输路径和传输强度,以2021年春季和冬季期间京津冀地区的PM2.5重污染过程为例进行验证。结果表明:研究时段内京津冀地区共发生17次区域重污染,长(>48 h)、中长(24~48 h)、短(<24 h)时间的污染过程分别为3、7和7次,长时间污染过程均发生在春季,污染强度较高,污染范围和传输范围覆盖整个区域;中长和短时间污染过程春、冬季均有发生,污染强度较低,前者影响范围(>80%)高于后者(<63%);中长时间污染过程的传输范围存在季节性差异。京津冀各城市的重污染过程污染传输强度系数普遍符合本地(0.32~1.00)>城市内(0.01~0.95)>城市间(0.00~0.28)的规律,其中,邢台市的城市间传输强度大于城市内传输,衡水市对周边城市的影响则低于平均水平。

     

    Abstract: In order to explore the spatiotemporal pattern of regional air pollution transmission and diffusion and to support the regional joint prevention and emergency control of atmospheric environment pollution, a new spatiotemporal data mining approach was proposed based on air-quality ground observation data. The algorithms were built to identify the regional transmission paths and intensity of heavily polluted air masses. The case study on PM2.5 heavy pollution events in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region during January-March and October-December, 2021 was conducted to verify the algorithms. The results showed that there were 17 regional heavy pollution events during this period in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. There were 3, 7, and 7 long (>48 h), medium-long (24-48 h), and short (<24 h) pollution events, respectively. All long pollution events occurred in spring. Their pollution intensity was the highest among the three event types, and the polluted area and pollution transmission area covered the entire study area. The medium-long and short pollution events occurred in spring and winter. Their pollution intensity was lower than that of long events. Medium-long events' polluted area coverage (>80%) was higher than that of short events (<63%). There were seasonal differences in the area covered by pollution transmission for medium-long pollution events. In terms of the transportation intensity coefficient of heavy pollution transmission in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region generally conformed to the law that local pollution intensity coefficient (0.32-1.00) was the highest, followed by intra-city pollution transmission (0.01-0.95), and inter-city pollution (0.00-0.28). Among them, the inter-city transmission intensity of Xingtai was greater than its intra-city transmission, and the impact of Hengshui on surrounding cities was lower than the average level.

     

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