钢铁行业节能技术潜力与成本分析以长三角地区为例

Analysis of cost and potential of energy-conservation technologies in iron and steel industry: a case study of the Yangtze River Delta region

  • 摘要: 钢铁行业是能源消耗和碳排放的重点行业,节能减排是钢铁行业绿色低碳转型发展的有效途径,节能技术是钢铁行业提高能源效率、降低碳排放和减少空气污染的关键。运用节能供给曲线方法对长三角地区钢铁行业技术节能成本进行评价,并对2030年长三角地区钢铁行业技术节能潜力进行评估。结果表明:钢铁行业28项技术在2030年预计为长三角地区累计节能875.74 PJ,约为2020年长三角地区钢铁行业总能耗的34%;考虑不同收益项时的技术节能成本存在差异,当不考虑任何收益时技术的节能成本最高,当将协同效益纳入考虑后,技术的节能成本降到较低水平;贴现率、温室气体或污染物交易价格等因素会对技术的节能成本产生影响,贴现率越高意味着资金成本越高,技术的节能成本也相应越高;温室气体或污染物价格上升会增加技术节能的收益,从而降低技术的节能成本。

     

    Abstract: As a typical resource and energy intensive industry, energy saving and emission reduction is the effective green and low-carbon transformation and development path of the iron and steel industry. Energy-conservation technologies are vital to improve energy efficiency, reduce carbon emissions and decrease air pollution in the iron and steel industry. The Conservation Supply Curve method was used to evaluate the techonolies’ energy-conservation cost of the iron and steel industry in the Yangtze River Delta region. And the energy conservation potential realized by the technologies in the region in 2030 was evaluated. The results showed that 28 energy-conservation technologies in the iron and steel industry were expected to save 875.74 PJ of energy in 2030, which was about 34% of the total energy consumption of the iron and steel industry in the Yangtze River Delta in 2020. When different income items were considered, the energy-conservation cost of technologies was different; when no income was considered, the energy-conservation cost of technologies was the highest; when the co-benefit was taken into account, the energy-conservation cost was reduced to a lower level. The discount rate, the trading price of greenhouse gases or pollutants and other factors would have an impact on the energy-conservation cost of the technologies. The higher the discount rate, the higher the capital cost, and the higher the energy-conservation cost of the technologies. A rise in the price of greenhouse gases or pollutants would increase the benefit of energy conservation and thus reduce the cost of energy conservation of the technologies.

     

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