“双碳”目标下林业资源型城市经济-环境-碳排放耦合协调发展研究以伊春市为例

Research on the coupled and coordinated development of economy-environment-carbon emission in forestry resource-based city under the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality: a case study of Yichun City

  • 摘要: 实现碳达峰、碳中和目标是我国近年来提出的重大战略决策,是引领我国绿色低碳发展的重要目标,可以带来环境质量改善和产业进步等多重效应。以我国典型的林业资源型城市——伊春市为研究对象,建立经济-环境-碳排放评价指标体系并运用熵值法和耦合协调度模型测算伊春市2010—2020年经济发展、环境质量和碳排放水平的耦合协调关系。结果表明:伊春市经济发展与环境质量总体呈上升趋势,但碳排放量和强度不断增加,整体由经济滞后型发展转变至环境和碳排放滞后型发展;伊春市耦合协调水平持续上升,由严重失调衰退发展至中级协调发展,环境和碳排放子系统需要加强改善。最后,从着力解决突出环境问题、强化节能增效和循环经济、大力发展林业经济、积极探索创新碳汇产品价值实现机制等方面出发,提出实现经济高质量发展目标的建议。

     

    Abstract: Achieving the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality is a significant strategic decision put forward by China in recent years. It is an important objective leading China's green and low-carbon development, which can bring multiple effects, such as improving environmental quality and advancing industries. Taking Yichun, a typical forestry resource-based city in China, as an example, an economic-environment-carbon emission evaluation indicator system was established and the entropy method and a coupling coordination model were used to calculate the coupling coordination relationship between economic development, environmental quality and carbon emission in Yichun from 2010 to 2020. The results showed that the economic development and environmental quality of Yichun showed an upward trend, but the carbon emissions and intensity increased greatly, and the overall development pattern shifted from the economy lagging to the environmental and carbon emissions lagging. The level of coupling coordination in Yichun had been consistently improving, progressing from severe imbalance and declining development to intermediate coordinated development, and the environmental and carbon emission subsystems needed to be strengthened. Finally, suggestions were proposed to achieve the goal of high-quality economic development, focusing on solving outstanding environmental problems, strengthening energy conservation and efficiency and circular economy, vigorously developing the forestry economy and actively exploring innovative mechanisms of carbon sink product value realization.

     

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