典型有机化工厂污染地块氯代烃分布特征及基于蒙特卡洛模拟的风险评估

Distribution characteristics of chlorinated hydrocarbons in contaminated plots of typical organic chemical plants and risk assessment based on Monte Carlo simulation

  • 摘要: 以长三角某典型有机化工地块为研究对象,采集651个土壤样品和30个地下水样品,研究氯代烃(CAHs)在环境中的污染程度及其空间分布特征,结合蒙特卡洛模拟方法分析土壤和地下水中CAHs的健康风险概率。结果表明:大部分CAHs浓度呈偏正态分布,浓度随着深度增加整体逐渐降低,土壤和地下水中三氯乙烯的污染程度最严重,污染羽主要集中在地块西南部和西北部。三氯乙烯和氯仿是造成健康风险的主要污染物,土壤中三氯乙烯致癌风险大于10−6 的概率为87.2%,危害商大于1的概率为71.76%,氯仿危害商大于1的概率为81.28%。每日土壤摄入量对土壤致癌风险的敏感性最大(31.9%),皮肤表面黏性系数对地下水致癌风险和危害商的敏感度最大,分别为16.9和23%。吸入室内空气中来自下层土壤的气态污染物是造成土壤致癌和非致癌风险的主要暴露途径,吸入室内来自地下的气态污染物途径是造成地下水致癌和非致癌风险的主要暴露途径。

     

    Abstract: A typical organic chemical plot in the Yangtze River Delta was selected as the research object. A total of 651 soil samples and 30 groundwater samples were collected for analysis and determination. The pollution level and spatial distribution characteristics of chlorinated hydrocarbons (CAHs) in the environment were studied. The health risk probability of CAHs in soil and groundwater was analyzed using Monte Carlo simulation method. The results showed that the concentration of most CAHs was in normal distribution, and gradually decreased with the increase of depth. Trichloroethylene pollution in soil and groundwater was the most serious. The contaminant plumes were mainly concentrated in the southwest and northwest of the plot. Trichloroethylene and chloroform were the main pollutants causing health risks. The probability of a carcinogenic risk greater than 10−6 for trichloroethylene in soil was 87.2%, the probability of hazard quotient exceeding 1 was 71.76%, and the probability of chloroform hazard quotient exceeding 1 was 81.28%. The daily soil intake had the highest sensitivity to soil cancer risk (31.9%). The skin surface viscosity coefficient had the highest sensitivity to groundwater cancer risk and hazard quotient, being 16.9% and 23%, respectively. Inhaling gaseous pollutants from the underlying soil in indoor air was the main exposure pathway that caused both carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risks in soil. Inhaling gaseous pollutants from underground was the main exposure pathway that caused both carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic risks in groundwater.

     

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