“双碳”目标下工业园区低碳发展水平评价研究以华东地区A园区为例

Research on the evaluation of low-carbon development level of industrial parks under carbon peak and carbon neutrality target: taking A park in East China as an example

  • 摘要: “双碳”目标下工业园区低碳发展的需求愈发紧迫,科学合理地评价工业园区低碳发展水平是促进工业园区低碳发展的关键一步。从低碳产业、能源资源利用、减污降碳、低碳基础设施、长效管理5个层面选取24个指标构建工业园区低碳发展评价指标体系,采用层次分析法结合改进CRITIC法(基于指标相关性的权重确定法)为指标赋权,运用TOPSIS(优劣解距离法)-灰色关联分析模型和障碍度模型分析了2018—2022年华东地区A园区的低碳发展水平与障碍因子。结果表明:2018—2022年A园区低碳发展水平呈逐年上升趋势,其中低碳产业、能源资源利用、长效管理准则的低碳发展趋势向好,而减污降碳、低碳基础设施准则的低碳发展受阻。从障碍度角度看,准则层中减污降碳和能源资源利用是制约A园区低碳发展水平提高的关键障碍因素,其中单位工业增加值碳排放量、单位工业增加值综合能耗、工业用水重复利用率、单位工业增加值废水排放量、新建工业建筑中绿色建筑比例的阻碍作用较为突出。

     

    Abstract: Under the goal of carbon peak and carbon neutrality, the demand for low-carbon development of industrial parks is becoming more and more urgent. Scientific and reasonable evaluation of the low-carbon development level of industrial parks is a key step to promote the low-carbon development of industrial parks. From the five levels of low-carbon industry, energy resource utilization, pollution reduction and carbon reduction, low-carbon infrastructure, and long-term management, 24 indicators were selected to construct a low-carbon development evaluation index system for industrial parks. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) combined with the improved criteria importance through intercriteria correlation (CRITIC) method was used to assign weights to indicators, and the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) - grey correlation analysis model and obstacle degree model were used to analyze the low-carbon development level and obstacle factors of A park in East China from 2018 to 2022. The results showed that the low-carbon development level of A park was increasing year by year from 2018 to 2022, among which the low-carbon development trend of low-carbon industry, energy resource utilization and long-term management criteria was better, while the low-carbon development of pollution reduction and low-carbon infrastructure criteria was hindered. From the perspective of obstacle degree, pollution reduction and carbon reduction, and energy resource utilization in the criterion layer were the key obstacle factors restricting the improvement of the low-carbon development level of A park. Among them, the carbon emission per unit of industrial added value, the comprehensive energy consumption per unit of industrial added value, the reuse rate of industrial water, the wastewater discharge per unit of industrial added value, and the proportion of green buildings in new industrial buildings were more prominent.

     

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