水足迹视角下的东江湖流域水资源利用评价研究

Research on water resource utilization evaluation in Dongjiang Lake Basin from the perspective of water footprint

  • 摘要: 东江湖是国家级自然保护区,随着城镇化、工业化进程加速,水资源紧缺、水环境污染问题突出,如何准确对比、评价东江湖流域水资源利用状况成为亟待解决的问题。以水足迹理论为基础,从水足迹结构、水足迹利用、水足迹安全、水足迹发展4个角度遴选7个指标,根据东江湖流域2012—2022年水资源、经济社会发展数据测算其水资源消耗,评价其水资源开发利用情况,选用Tapio脱钩模型衡量东江湖流域水足迹与经济社会发展的匹配状况。结果表明:东江湖流域水足迹以农业用水和工业用水为主,农业用水量占比超过58%;水资源利用效率自2018年以来逐步提升;进出口水足迹属于水资源净出口型;水足迹压力处于0.42~0.61,在极端干旱条件下不能保证水资源消耗;城乡居民生活用水量增加较快。Tapio系数显示,2012—2016年水足迹和经济发展以增长连结状态为主,2017—2022年弱脱钩状态频率增多,特别是在2022年,脱钩系数接近−0.44。研究显示,东江湖流域水资源充足,能满足区域工农业生产与居民生活所需,但须警惕极端干旱气候;同时,须提高水资源利用效率,发挥水资源优势升级区域产业结构,结合水资源优势发展“水经济”。

     

    Abstract: Dongjiang Lake is a national nature reserve. With the acceleration of urbanization and industrialization, water resources are becoming increasingly scarce and water environmental pollution is becoming prominent. How to accurately compare and evaluate the water resource utilization status in Dongjiang Lake Basin has become an urgent problem that needs to be solved. Based on the water footprint theory, seven indicators were selected from four perspectives: water footprint structure, water footprint utilization, water footprint safety, and water footprint development. Based on water resources and economic and social development data from 2012 to 2022 in the Dongjiang Lake Basin, the water resource consumption was calculated, and the water resource development and utilization situation was evaluated. The Tapio decoupling model was used to measure the matching status of water footprint and economic and social development in the Dongjiang Lake Basin. The results indicated that the water footprint of the Dongjiang River Basin was mainly based on agricultural and industrial water use, with agricultural water consumption accounting for over 58%. The efficiency of water resource utilization has gradually improved since 2018. The import and export water footprint belongs to the net export type of water resources. The water footprint pressure was between 0.42 and 0.61, and water resource consumption cannot be guaranteed under extreme drought conditions. The average water consumption of urban and rural residents had increased rapidly. The Tapio coefficient showed that from 2012 to 2016, the water footprint and economic development were mainly in a growth-linked state. From 2017 to 2022, the frequency of weak decoupling increased, especially in 2022, when the decoupling coefficient approached the level of −0.44. Research has shown that the Dongjiang Lake Basin has sufficient water resources to meet the needs of regional industrial and agricultural production and residential life, but it is necessary to be vigilant against the impact of the extreme arid climate. At the same time, it is necessary to improve the efficiency of water resource utilization, leverage the advantages of water resources to upgrade regional industrial structure, and develop the "water economy" in combination with water resource advantages.

     

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