新冠疫情防控公众风险感知与应对行为动态演化特征

Dynamic evolution of public risk perception and preventive behaviors in COVID-19 pandemic prevention and control

  • 摘要: 新冠肺炎疫情是一个跨学科、跨领域的代表性风险社会问题,病毒通过各类环境介质传播威胁个体健康,个体通过提高风险感知和采取风险应对行为来抵御和降低该传播风险。分别在新冠疫情初期(2020年3月)、奥密克戎毒株流行期(2020年12月)、德尔塔毒株流行期(2021年8月)、奥密克戎变异毒株流行期(2022年1月)4个阶段发放覆盖2 950个样本的线上问卷,获取并分析个体对不同环境介质中病毒传播风险认知(指对风险传播途径的认识)、传播风险感知(指对风险传播途径的担忧程度)、风险应对行为和社区防控措施等变化趋势。结果显示,3类环境介质中,个体对飞沫与气溶胶传播风险认知程度最高、对介水传播风险认知程度最低。在不同防疫阶段下,个体对病毒的风险认知水平整体呈现上升趋势,但风险感知水平反而略微下降;同时,个体风险感知水平随防疫严格程度呈现上升趋势。个体风险感知水平较高时,其风险应对行为的采取频率亦较高。研究表明,风险感知对风险应对行为有积极促进作用,但其影响随时间发生动态变化。未来疫情防控中需进一步强调不同环境介质中病毒传播风险,并重点关注介水传播风险;针对不同阶段动态调整措施,以提高个体风险感知水平,有效引导个体风险应对行为。

     

    Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic poses a representative societal risk that demands an interdisciplinary and cross-sectoral response. The virus threatens the health of individuals through various environmental transmission pathways, and individuals can resist and mitigate the transmission risk by increasing their risk perception and adopting preventive behaviors. This study surveyed 2,950 participants through an online questionnaire at four critical stages: the early pandemic (March 2020), the Omicron variant surge (December 2020), the Delta variant surge (August 2021), and the Omicron subvariant surge (January 2022). The research aimed to analyze changes in individuals' awareness of virus transmission risks in different environmental pathways, their risk perception (defined as concern levels on risk transmission pathways), preventive behaviors, and community-level prevention measures. Findings revealed that among three types of transmission paths, participants had the highest awareness of the risk of droplet and aerosol transmission, and the lowest awareness of the risk of waterborne transmission. Individuals' overall level of risk awareness increased throughout different pandemic stages, but risk perception showed a slight decline over time. Meanwhile, individual risk perception increased with stricter preventive measures. Higher risk perception was associated with more frequent adoption of preventive behaviors, indicating that risk perception positively influenced risk preventive behaviors. However, its impact varied dynamically over time. Future pandemic prevention strategies should emphasize the virus transmission risk of diverse transmission pathways, particularly waterborne risks, and adjust dynamically across different stages to enhance individual risk perception and effectively encourage individual risk response behavior.

     

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