河湖COD源解析方法研究进展

Research progress on source apportionment methods for COD in rivers and lakes

  • 摘要: 我国河湖水体有机污染问题较为突出,河湖有机污染评价主要采用化学需氧量(COD)作为核心指标,COD源解析可识别有机污染来源、判断不同污染源的贡献,采用适宜的方法进行COD源解析,厘清有机污染的成因,对于水体污染的治理具有重要指示意义。简要分析了我国河湖水体COD及其空间分布特点,采用文献计量方法梳理了COD源解析方法研究热点的时间演进,并综述各类源解析方法的应用特点、优势、局限性及所需数据类型等。结果表明:我国河湖水体COD呈明显空间分异特征,COD较高的河湖主要集中在蒙新湖区和云贵高原湖区的湖泊以及淮河、松花江、辽河和海河流域;文献计量分析发现河湖COD源解析方法正在从传统模型向机器学习转型,当前源解析主流方法可归纳为排放因子法、受体模型法、机理模型法及机器学习法四类。排放因子法计算最为简便但数据来源时空分辨率有限、COD 产排污系数不足;受体模型法可以快速进行源解析但污染源识别具有主观性;机理模型法对复杂污染源的动态迁移转化模拟较准确但建模复杂、输入数据类型繁多;机器学习具有快速运算和高精度的优势,适用于处理多维非线性关系但无法模拟污染源迁移转化过程。针对当前主流方法在COD源解析实践中存在的局限性,提出未来要发展多模型联用,将机器学习和大数据、基因图谱和新技术进行融合,从模型协同优化和技术创新等方面开展多技术融合发展,以提升COD源解析的精度与效率。

     

    Abstract: The problem of organic pollution in river and lake water bodies in China is relatively significant. The assessment of organic pollution in rivers and lakes mainly employs chemical oxygen demand (COD) as the core indicator. COD source apportionment can identify the sources of organic pollution and determine the contributions of different pollution sources. By using appropriate methods for COD source apportionment, the causes of organic pollution can be clarified, which is of great significance for guiding the treatment of water pollution. This paper briefly analyzed the COD and its spatial distribution characteristics of river and lake water bodies in China. By using bibliometric methods, the temporal evolution of research hotspots in COD source apportionment methods was sorted out, and the application characteristics, advantages, limitations, and required data types of various source apportionment methods were summarized. The results show that the COD of river and lake water bodies in China presents obvious spatial differentiation characteristics. The rivers and lakes with relatively high COD are mainly concentrated in the lakes of the Mengxin Lake area and the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau Lake area, as well as the river basins of the Huai River, Songhua River, Liao River, and Hai River. Bibliometric analysis reveals that the source apportionment methods for COD in rivers and lakes are transforming from traditional models to machine learning. The current mainstream source apportionment methods can be classified into four categories: emission factor, receptor model, mechanism model, and machine learning methods. The emission factor method is the simplest to calculate, but the spatio-temporal resolution of the data source is limited, and the COD generation and discharge coefficients are insufficient. The receptor model method can quickly perform source apportionment, but the identification of pollution sources is subjective. The mechanism model method is relatively accurate in simulating the dynamic migration and transformation of complex pollution sources, but the modeling is complex, and there are many types of input data. Machine learning has the advantages of fast computing and high precision, and is suitable for handling multi-dimensional nonlinear relationships, but it cannot simulate the migration and transformation process of pollution sources. In view of the limitations of the current mainstream methods in the practice of COD source apportionment, it is proposed that the combined use of multiple models should be developed in the future. The integration of machine learning and big data, as well as the integration of gene mapping and new technologies, should be carried out from aspects such as model collaborative optimization and technological innovation to promote the integrated development of multiple technologies, so as to improve the accuracy and efficiency of COD source apportionment.

     

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