2000—2021年抚仙湖流域生态环境质量时空演变及驱动因素

Study on the spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors of ecological environment quality in the Fuxian Lake basin from 2000 to 2021

  • 摘要: 为定量揭示典型高原深水型湖泊生态环境质量的时空演变规律及驱动机制,以云南省抚仙湖流域为例,基于2000—2021年Landsat系列遥感数据,构建遥感生态指数(RSEI),结合地理探测器进行建模分析,结果显示:RSEI模型在抚仙湖流域具有较高的适用性,第一主成分(PC1)贡献率稳定高于65%,各指标载荷方向符合生态学理论(绿度、湿度为正相关,干度、热度为负相关)。流域生态环境质量呈现退化—改善—稳定的三阶段演变规律,2000—2006年显著退化(RSEI均值下降),2006—2015年逐步改善(显著变好区域占比提升至5.5%),2015年后进入稳定期(无明显变化区域占比达32.6%);空间上表现为以湖体为核心的梯度分布格局,Moran's I指数(0.25~0.33)显示生态质量具有弱空间正相关性,且2015年后高等级生态区(RSEI>0.6)面积显著扩大;驱动分析表明,年均降水量(影响因子q=0.418)和叶面积指数(q=0.411)是主导因子,其交互作用(年均降水量∩叶面积指数,q=0.701)对生态质量的空间分异影响最强,而人类活动(如夜间灯光指数)的贡献逐年增强。研究验证了RSEI模型在深水型湖泊流域的适用性,揭示了多因子协同驱动下生态环境质量的时空异质性。

     

    Abstract: Using the Fuxian Lake basin in Yunnan Province as a case study, this study quantitatively revealed the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of ecological environment quality in typical highland deep-water lakes. Based on Landsat series remote sensing data from 2000 to 2021, we constructed a Remote Sensing Ecological Index (RSEI) and conducted modelling analysis using Geodetector. Results indicated that the RSEI model demonstrated high applicability within the Fuxian Lake basin, with the first principal component (PC1) consistently contributing over 65% of variance. The loadings of all indicators aligned with ecological theory (greenness and wetness are positively correlated; aridity and thermal intensity are negatively correlated). The basin's ecological environment quality exhibited a three-stage evolution pattern of "degradation-improvement-stabilisation": significant degradation occurred between 2000 and 2006 (declining RSEI mean), gradual improvement followed from 2006 to 2015 (the proportion of significantly improved areas rising to 5.5%), and a stabilisation phase commenced post-2015 (with areas showing no significant change accounting for 32.6%). Spatially, a gradient distribution pattern centred on the lake body was observed. Moran's I index (0.25-0.33) indicated a weak positive spatial correlation in ecological quality, with areas of high ecological quality (RSEI > 0.6) significantly expanding after 2015. Driving factor analysis indicated that annual precipitation (impact factor q=0.418) and leaf area index (q=0.411) were dominant factors, with their interaction (annual precipitation ∩ leaf area index, q=0.701) exerting the strongest influence on spatial differentiation of ecological quality. Contributions from human activities (e.g., night-time light index) had progressively increased annually. This study validates the applicability of the RSEI model in deep-water lake basins and reveals the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of ecological environment quality driven by multiple synergistic factors.

     

/

返回文章
返回