我国钢铁行业绿色低碳转型目标下的技术路径分析

Analysis of technological paths under the goal of green and low-carbon transformation in the steel industry of China

  • 摘要: 钢铁行业是全球温室气体与大气污染物排放最集中的工业部门之一,也是我国实现碳达峰碳中和目标的关键领域。在系统梳理国际能源署、世界钢铁协会等机构数据和最新研究成果的基础上,对欧盟、美国等主要经济体钢铁工业绿色低碳转型路径进行比较分析,概括出“规制驱动+高碳价+氢冶金/碳捕集利用与封存(CCUS)”和“结构性短流程优势+多技术并行示范”两类典型模式。进而结合我国政策体系和钢铁行业超低排放改造实践,从能效提升与过程节能、短流程化与循环资源利用、清洁能源替代与氢冶金、CCUS、数字化智能化与全过程碳管理5个方面,系统梳理我国钢铁行业中长期绿色低碳技术路径与减污降碳协同效应。研究表明,仅依赖末端治理的超低排放改造可能带来“减污增碳”风险;将其与能效提升、高炉煤气零放散、余热利用及提高废钢-电炉占比等结构性措施协同推进,则可显著放大减污降碳协同效益。应坚持以能效和结构调整为主、以氢冶金和CCUS为中长期选项的总体思路,统筹碳定价、绿色金融、废钢体系与绿电保障以及数字化碳管理,为我国钢铁行业构建系统性的绿色低碳转型路线,并为全球工业深度碳减排提供经验。

     

    Abstract: The iron and steel industry is a major global emitter of greenhouse gases and atmospheric pollutants, and is a key sector for China to achieve its carbon peaking and carbon neutrality targets. Based on a comprehensive review of data and reports from the International Energy Agency, the World Steel Association and recent academic studies, this study compares the green and low-carbon transition pathways of major economies such as the European Union and the United States. Two typical models are summarized: (1) "Regulatory-driven + High carbon price + Hydrogen metallurgy/Carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS)" and (2) "Structural short-process advantages + Parallel demonstration of multiple technologies". Building on China's climate policy framework and large-scale ultra-low emission (ULE) retrofits in the steel sector, the study further synthesizes green and low-carbon technological pathways for China's steel sector, and their synergistic effects in pollution reduction and carbon mitigation. The technological pathways include five key areas: energy efficiency improvement and process energy conservation, short-process routes and circular resource use, clean energy substitution and hydrogen-based metallurgy, CCUS, and digitalization, intelligentization and lifecycle carbon management. The analysis indicates that ULE retrofits relying solely on end-of-pipe control may lead to "reducing pollution while increasing carbon". In contrast, integrating these retrofits with energy-efficiency measures, zero-venting and utilization of blast furnace gas, waste heat recovery, and higher scrap-EAF shares can generate significant air pollutant-carbon co-benefits. This study suggests that China should prioritize energy efficiency and structural adjustment in the near to medium term, while deploying hydrogen metallurgy and CCUS as strategic long-term options, supported by carbon pricing, green finance, an improved scrap system, low-carbon power supply and digital carbon management. Such an integrated approach is essential for steering the green and low-carbon transition of the steel industry in China and offers valuable insights for deep industrial decarbonization globally.

     

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