京津冀生态文明建设水平时空演变特征及影响因素分析

Spatiotemporal characteristics and influencing factors of ecological civilization construction level in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

  • 摘要: 为科学分析十八大以来京津冀生态文明建设情况,基于经济-社会-自然复合理论构建包含科技创新、绿色低碳发展、生态效益、绿色生活的指标体系,采用基于熵权-CRITIC组合赋权法的综合评价模型、耦合协调模型分析京津冀生态文明建设时空演变格局及各维度间协同发展关系,并引入修正引力模型和障碍度模型,识别城市间空间关联特征和区域短板因素。结果表明:京津冀整体生态文明综合指数(ECCI)显著上升但区域差异突出,京津领先,呈中部高、南北低格局;城市间空间联系更强,邻近性明显;各维度分指数普遍增长但差异显著,京津科技创新与低碳转型较高,北部城市环境治理、南部城市资源利用较高。京津冀耦合协调水平总体向好,空间集聚效应增强,演变趋势与ECCI格局相契合,但城市间协调水平差距扩大。绿色生活和科技创新是主要障碍维度且障碍度上升,低碳转型与环境治理障碍度低且下降;人均乘坐公共交通出行次数、科技支出强度、人均公园绿地面积、节能环保支出占比等指标是主要障碍因子,不同城市主导障碍因子及障碍度差异显著。研究显示,京津冀生态文明建设水平整体提升,但存在显著空间异质性,维度间发展仍不均衡。未来需重点强化科技创新能力、深化环境协同共治、倡导绿色生活、提升资源利用效率,并实施差异化政策,加快区域高质量协同发展。

     

    Abstract: To scientifically analyze the ecological civilization construction in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) Region since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC), a comprehensive ecological civilization evaluation index system was developed based on the economy-society-nature complex ecosystem theory, comprising technological innovation, low-carbon development, ecological benefits, and green living. A comprehensive evaluation model based on the combined entropy weight-CRITIC weighting method was employed to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution pattern of ecological civilization construction, and a coupling coordination model was applied to examine the synergistic development relationships among various dimensions. Furthermore, a modified gravity model and an obstacle degree model were introduced to identify spatial correlation characteristics among cities and regional bottleneck factors. The main findings were as follows: The overall Ecological Civilization Comprehensive Index (ECCI) of the BTH Region increased significantly, yet notable regional disparities persisted. Beijing and Tianjin led in performance, and the whole region showed a spatial pattern of higher in the central area and lower in the northern and southern parts. Inter-city spatial linkages were strengthened, with clear proximity effects. While sub-indices across various dimensions generally improved, their growth levels varied considerably. Beijing and Tianjin scored higher in technological innovation and low-carbon transition; northern cities performed better in environmental governance, while southern cities excelled in resource utilization. The coupling coordination level within the region improved overall, with enhanced spatial agglomeration effects. The evolutionary trend aligned with the ECCI spatial pattern; however, the coordination gap among cities widened. Green living and technological innovation were the main obstacle dimensions, with their obstacle degrees increasing. In contrast, the obstacle degrees of low-carbon transition and environmental governance were low and showed a declining trend. Key obstacle indicators included per capita public transport trips, intensity of science and technology expenditure, per capita park green space, and the proportion of energy conservation and environmental protection expenditure. Different cities exhibited significant variations in dominant obstacle factors and their obstacle degrees. The study reveals that although the ecological civilization construction level in the BTH Region has improved as a whole, significant spatial heterogeneity remains, and development across dimensions is still unbalanced. Moving forward, it is essential to strengthen technological innovation capabilities, deepen coordinated environmental governance, promote green living, enhance resource utilization efficiency, and implement differentiated policies to accelerate high-quality regional coordinated development.

     

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