治污减排对需求结构的影响

Influence of Pollutant Discharge Reduction on Demand Structure

  • 摘要: 针对我国30个省市地区2005-2009年期间治污减排手段对需求结构的影响研究(分别以消费占GDP的比重以及消费与投资比表征),结果表明:工程减排改善了要素结构,同时提升了第二产业产值占GDP的比重以及出口占GDP的比重,最终表现为对需求结构的负面影响;结构减排虽然提高了第二产业比重,但能降低出口比重,改善要素结构,因此最终表现为对需求结构的正向影响;管理减排促进了要素结构的改善,降低了第二产业的比重,但促进了出口比重,因此最终表现为对于需求结构的负面影响。总之,工程减排和管理减排恶化了需求结构,而结构减排有利于需求结构的改善。

     

    Abstract: Research on the influences of pollutant discharge reduction measures on the demand structure, characterized by the share of consumption in GDP and the ratio of consumption to investment, in China’ 30 provinces from 2005 to 2009 were studied, showed that pollutant discharge reductions by engineering improved the element structure and enhanced the proportion of the second industry in GDP as well as the proportion of export in GDP. Therefore, the engineering discharge reduction could degrade the demand structure. Structural discharge reduction increased the proportion of the second industry in GDP but lowered the proportion of export in GDP, thus having a positive effect on the demand structure. Regulation discharge reduction improved the element structure, enhanced the proportion of export in GDP and lowered the proportion of the second industry in GDP, and thus finally had negative influence on the demand structure. In a word, the pollutant reduction by both engineering and regulation should worsen the demand structure, while the structural discharge reduction had positive influence on the improvement of the demand structure.

     

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