Abstract:
The correlation analysis, PLS1 and path analysis were applied to study the direct effect five main air pollutants on the quality of PM
2.5, their indirect effect on other pollutants and also the total effect in Tianjin in different seasons (291 days) of 2014.The results showed that the factors significantly related to PM
2.5 were SO
2, NO
2 and CO in spring, O
3(8 h) and CO in summer, SO
2, NO
2 and CO in autumn and SO
2, NO
2, CO, O
3(8 h) in winter, respectively. Meanwhile there was a positive multicollinearity between O
3(1 h) and O
3(8 h) in winter. The goodness of fit
R 2of PLS1 model in four seasons was 0.553, 0.323, 0.713, 0.839, respectively, which indicated that the model was reasonable. Path analysis revealed that CO was the greatest pollutant factor to PM
2.5 and showed there existed obvious seasonal variations, with the total effect coefficients of 10.810, 5.587, 6.271, 12.500 in four seasons, respectively. The total effect coefficient of O
3(8 h) in summer was 0.897, and that of NO
2 was 0.185, 0.338 and 0.290 in spring, autumn and winter, respectively. Moreover, the direct effect coefficients of the pollutants in four seasons were higher than those of indirect effect.