气候变化对陕西省大气污染潜势的影响
Analysis of climate change impact on air pollution potential in Shaanxi
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摘要: 分析了大气扩散潜势的分布,利用大气扩散模型对不同年份、季节扩散模式进行模拟,针对不同气候与短期气候变化问题进行模拟,以评估短期气候变化或区域气候变化对大气环境和大气污染潜势的冲击。结合1999—2009年气候变化潜势的模拟结果,气候变化使陕北及陕南大气扩散潜势呈逐年不利的扩散形式,SO2平均浓度每年增加率分别为1.38%和0.29%,而关中地区大气扩散潜势变化则有利于扩散,其SO2平均浓度每年减少约3.59%。Abstract: The potential of atmospheric diffusion was analyzed, and the atmospheric diffusion model used to simulate the atmospheric diffusion potential for different years and seasons and for different climate and short-term climate change situations, so as to evaluate the influence of short-term climate change or regional climate change on the air pollution potential and atmospheric environment. According to the simulation results of climate change potential in 1999-2009, the climate change in north of Shaanxi and south of Shaanxi showed the trend of annually decelerating air pollution diffusion forms, with yearly increase rate of the average concentration being 1.38% and 0.29%, respectively. Central of Shaanxi showed more favorable atmospheric diffusion potential for pollutant diffusion, with the maximum sulfur dioxide concentration decreasing by 3.59% yearly.