留言板

尊敬的读者、作者、审稿人, 关于本刊的投稿、审稿、编辑和出版的任何问题, 您可以本页添加留言。我们将尽快给您答复。谢谢您的支持!

姓名
邮箱
手机号码
标题
留言内容
验证码

江苏省自然资源利用时空变化特征及驱动力分析

吴心怡 张燕

吴心怡, 张燕. 江苏省自然资源利用时空变化特征及驱动力分析[J]. 环境工程技术学报, 2020, 10(2): 293-302. doi: 10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20190080
引用本文: 吴心怡, 张燕. 江苏省自然资源利用时空变化特征及驱动力分析[J]. 环境工程技术学报, 2020, 10(2): 293-302. doi: 10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20190080
WU Xinyi, ZHANG Yan. Spatiotemporal variation characteristics and driving forces of natural resources utilization in Jiangsu Province[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology, 2020, 10(2): 293-302. doi: 10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20190080
Citation: WU Xinyi, ZHANG Yan. Spatiotemporal variation characteristics and driving forces of natural resources utilization in Jiangsu Province[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology, 2020, 10(2): 293-302. doi: 10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20190080

江苏省自然资源利用时空变化特征及驱动力分析

doi: 10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20190080
详细信息
    作者简介:

    吴心怡(1998—),女,主要从事环境地理方面的研究,2543678341@qq.com

    通讯作者:

    张燕 E-mail: zhangynju@sina.com

  • 中图分类号: X21

Spatiotemporal variation characteristics and driving forces of natural resources utilization in Jiangsu Province

More Information
    Corresponding author: Yan ZHANG E-mail: zhangynju@sina.com
  • 摘要: 基于改进的三维生态足迹模型测度江苏省2009—2016年的人均生态足迹、足迹深度与足迹广度,定量分析江苏省自然资源利用状况的时空变化特征;用改进的T型关联分析探讨江苏省人均生态足迹的驱动因子,并利用灰色预测模型GM(1,1)预测江苏省2019—2022年生态足迹与生态承载力的演变趋势。结果表明:1)2009—2016年,江苏省人均生态足迹、人均生态赤字、足迹深度与足迹广度均呈上升趋势,人均生态承载力略有下降。除建设用地外,耕地、林地、牧草地、水域与化石能源用地均处于生态赤字状态,其中,化石能源用地的生态足迹占全省生态足迹的主要部分;牧草地与水域的足迹深度较高,资源存量透支较为严重;耕地的足迹广度占全省足迹广度的主要部分,其在研究期内略有下降。省内各城市间足迹深度与足迹广度的差异较大,足迹深度表现为苏南>苏中>苏北,足迹广度为苏北>苏中>苏南。2)引导第三产业发展,提高能源利用效率,增强区域贸易交流能够缓解人均生态足迹的增长;人均GDP的增长、城市化水平以及人口规模的提高促进了生态足迹的增长。3)2019—2022年,江苏省人均生态足迹将进一步增加,人均生态承载力将小幅下降,生态赤字现象将继续存在且总量不断增加,生态环境压力进一步加剧。

     

  • [1] 江苏省统计局. 人口总量缓慢增长城镇化率稳步提高[EB∕OL].(2017-09-28)[2019-05-16].
    [2] REES W E . Ecological footprints and appropriated carrying capacity:what urban economics leaves out[J]. Environment and Urbanization, 1992,4(2):121-130.
    [3] WACKERNAGEL M, REES W E, TESTEMALE P . Our ecological footprint:reducing human impact on the earth[J]. Population & Environment, 1996,1(3):171-174.
    [4] 章锦河, 张捷 . 国外生态足迹模型修正与前沿研究进展[J]. 资源科学, 2006(6):196-203.

    ZHANG J H, ZHANG J . Research progress and model modification of ecological footprint[J]. Resources Science, 2006(6):196-203.
    [5] 张志强, 徐中民, 程国栋 . 生态足迹的概念及计算模型[J]. 生态经济, 2000(10):8-10.

    ZHANG Z Q, XU Z M, CHENG G D . The concept of ecological ‘footprints’ and computer models[J]. Ecological Economy, 2000(10):8-10.
    [6] LENZEN M, MURRAY S A . A modified ecological footprint method and its application to Australia[J]. Ecological Economics, 2001,37(2):229-255.
    [7] ERB K H . Actual land demand of Austria 1926-2000:a variation on ecological footprint assessment[J]. Land Use Policy, 2004,21:247-259
    [8] NICCOLUCCI V, BASTIANONI S, TIEZZI E B P , et al. How deep is the footprint? a 3D representation[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2009,220(20):2819-2823.
    [9] NICCOLUCCI V, TIEZZI E, PULSELLI F M , et al. Biocapacity vs ecological footprint of world regions:a geopolitical interpretation[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2011,16:23-30.
    [10] NICCOLUCCI V, GALLI A, REED A , et al. Towards a 3D national ecological footprint geography[J]. Ecological Modelling, 2011,222(16) : 2939-2944.
    [11] 杜悦悦, 彭建, 高阳 , 等. 基于三维生态足迹的京津冀城市群自然资本可持续利用分析[J]. 地理科学进展, 2016,35(10):1186-1196.

    DU Y Y, PENG J, GAO Y , et al. Sustainability evaluation of natural capital utilization based on a three-dimensional ecological footprint model:a case study of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Metropolitan region[J]. Progress in Geography, 2016,35(10):1186-1196.
    [12] 方恺, 高凯, 李焕承 . 基于三维生态足迹模型优化的自然资本利用国际比较[J]. 地理研究, 2013,32(9):1657-1667.

    FANG K, GAO K, LI H C . International comparison of natural capital use:a three-dimensional model optimization of ecological footprint[J]. Geographical Research, 2013,32(9):1657-1667.
    [13] 方恺, HEIJUNGS R. 自然资本核算的生态足迹三维模型研究进展[J]. 地理科学进展, 2012,31(12):1700-1707.

    FANG K, HEIJUNGS R . A review on three-dimensional ecological footprint model for natural capital accounting[J]. Progress in Geography, 2012,31(12):1700-1707.
    [14] 刘超, 许月卿, 孙丕苓 , 等. 基于改进三维生态足迹模型的张家口市生态可持续性评价[J]. 水土保持通报, 2016,36(6):169-176.

    LIU C, XU Y Q, SUN P L , et al. Evaluation of ecological sustainability based on revised three-dimensional model of ecological footprint in Zhangjiakou City[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2016,36(6):169-176.
    [15] 靳相木, 柳乾坤 . 基于三维生态足迹模型扩展的土地承载力指数研究:以温州市为例[J]. 生态学报, 2017,37(9):2982-2993.

    JIN X M, LIU Q K . Analysis of a land carrying capacity index based on an expanded three-dimensional ecological footprint model:a case study of Wenzhou[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2017,37(9):2982-2993.
    [16] 秦超, 李君轶, 陈宏飞 . 基于三维生态足迹的锡林郭勒盟自然资本动态研究[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2015,29(9):51-56.

    QIN C, LI J Y, CHEN H F . Dynamic analysis of natural capital in Xilinguole League based on the three-dimensional ecological footprint[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2015,29(9):51-56.
    [17] 马明德, 马学娟, 谢应忠 , 等. 宁夏生态足迹影响因子的偏最小二乘回归分析[J]. 生态学报, 2014,34(3):682-689.

    MA M D, MA X J, XIE Y Z , et al. Analysis the relationship between ecological footprint (EF) of Ningxia and influencing factors:partial least-squares regression (PLS)[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2014,34(3):682-689.
    [18] 张永芳, 张勃, 郭玲霞 . 兰州市生态足迹变化趋势及其影响因子分析[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2008(9):25-29.

    ZHANG Y F, ZHANG B, GUO L X . Analysis on the development trends and influence factors of ecological footprint in Lanzhou City[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2008(9):25-29.
    [19] DAI F Q, NAN L, LIU G C . Assessment of regional ecological security based on ecological footprint and influential factors analysis:a case study of Chongqing Municipality,China[J]. International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology, 2010,17(5):390-400.
    [20] 窦贻俭, 苏慧, 高超 , 等. 江苏省生态足迹分析与可持续发展研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境, 2004(6):519-523.

    DOU Y J, SU H, GAO C , et al. On sustainable development based on ecological footprint analysis in Jiangsu Province[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin, 2004(6):519-523.
    [21] 奚砚涛, 牛坤, 薛丽芳 . 基于生态足迹定量分析的土地利用结构优化研究:以江苏省徐州市为例[J]. 水土保持通报, 2014,34(2):293-299.

    XI Y T, NIU K, XUE L F . A study on optimization of land use structure based on quantitative analysis of ecological footprint:a case study of Xuzhou City,Jiangsu Province[J]. Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation, 2014,34(2):293-299.
    [22] 韩召迎 . 基于生态足迹模型的区域可持续发展评价研究[D]. 南京:南京农业大学, 2012.
    [23] 梅艳, 何蓓蓓, 刘友兆 . 江苏省生态足迹与经济增长关系的计量分析[J]. 自然资源学报, 2009,24(3):476-482.

    MEI Y, HE B B, LIU Y Z . Econometric analysis of the relationships among ecological footprint and economic growth in Jiangsu[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2009,24(3):476-482.
    [24] 江苏省统计局. 江苏省统计年鉴:2009—2016[A]. 北京:中国统计出版社.
    [25] 江苏省各市统计年鉴:南京、无锡、徐州、常州、苏州、南通、连云港、淮安、盐城、扬州、镇江、泰州、宿迁:2009—2016[A]. 北京:中国统计出版社.
    [26] 自然资源部. 江苏省土地利用数据[DB∕OL].(2016-11-15)[2019-05-16].
    [27] 刘某承, 李文华 . 基于净初级生产力的中国各地生态足迹均衡因子测算[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2010,26(5):401-406.

    LIU M C, LI W H . Calculation of equivalence factor used in ecological footprint for China and its provinces based on net primary production[J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2010,26(5):401-406.
    [28] 刘某承, 李文华, 谢高地 . 基于净初级生产力的中国生态足迹产量因子测算[J]. 生态学杂志, 2010,29(3):592-597.

    LIU M C, LI W H, XIE G D . Estimation of China ecological footprint production coefficient based on net primary productivity[J]. Chinese Journal of Ecology, 2010,29(3):592-597.
    [29] 查金茂 . T型关联度的缺陷[J]. 武汉交通科技大学学报, 1997(1):91-94.

    ZHA J M . Some shortcomings of T's correlation degree[J]. Journal of Wuhan Transportation University, 1997(1):91-94.
    [30] 梅振国 . 灰色绝对关联度及其计算方法[J]. 系统工程, 1992(5):43-44.

    MEI Z G . The concept and computation method of grey absolute correlation degree[J]. Systems Engineering, 1992(5):43-44.
    [31] 唐五湘 . T型关联度及其计算方法[J]. 数理统计与管理, 1995(1):34-37.

    TANG W X . The concept and computation method of T's correlation degree[J]. Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, 1995(1):34-37.
    [32] 冯鹤林, 陈勇明 . 一种改进的T型灰色关联度及应用研究[J]. 统计与决策, 2011(5):160-163.
    [33] 胡美娟, 周年兴, 李在军 , 等. 南京市三维生态足迹测算及驱动因子[J]. 地理与地理信息科学, 2015,31(1):91-95.

    HU M J, ZHOU N X, LI Z J , et al. Calculation and driving factor analysis of three-dimensional ecological footprint in Nanjing City[J]. Geography and Geo-Information Science, 2015,31(1):91-95.
    [34] 赖力, 黄贤金, 刘伟良 . 区域人均生态足迹的社会经济驱动模型:以1995年—2003年江苏人均足迹为例[J]. 资源科学, 2006(1):14-18.

    LAI L, HUANG X J, LIU W L . Socio-economic driving model of regional ecological footprint:a case of Jiangsu Province from 1995 to 2003[J]. Resource Science, 2006(1):14-18.
    [35] LIU L N, LEI Y L, GE J P , et al. Sector screening and driving factor analysis of Beijing's ecological footprint using a multi-model method[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018,191:330-338.
    [36] GAO C K, JIANG D H, WANG D , et al. Calculation of ecological footprint based on modified method and quantitative analysis of its impact factors:a case study of Shanghai[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2006,16(4):306-313.
  • 加载中
计量
  • 文章访问数:  500
  • HTML全文浏览量:  130
  • PDF下载量:  145
  • 被引次数: 0
出版历程
  • 收稿日期:  2019-06-16
  • 刊出日期:  2020-03-20

目录

    /

    返回文章
    返回