城市化背景下粤港澳大湾区生态风险时空演变及生态分区识别研究

李超; 牛文浩; 黄怀玉; 姚顺波; 龚直文

doi:10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20221130

城市化背景下粤港澳大湾区生态风险时空演变及生态分区识别研究

doi: 10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20221130

李超^{1, 2,},
牛文浩¹,
黄怀玉^{1, 2},
姚顺波^{1, 2},
龚直文^{1, 2, ,}

1.
西北农林科技大学经济管理学院
2.
西北农林科技大学资源经济与环境管理研究中心

基金项目: 陕西省社会科学基金项目（2020R053）；陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目（2023-JC-YB-192）

详细信息

作者简介:
李超(1997—)，男，硕士研究生，主要从事土地资源管理、资源经济与环境管理研究，386349572@qq.com

通讯作者:
龚直文(1980—)，男，副教授，主要从事资源经济与环境管理、林业经济理论与政策研究，gongzhiwen@nwafu.edu.cn

中图分类号: X171.2
计量
- 文章访问数: 539
- HTML全文浏览量: 321
- PDF下载量: 87
- 被引次数: 0
出版历程
- 收稿日期: 2022-11-11
- 录用日期: 2023-04-17
- 修回日期: 2023-02-01
- 网络出版日期: 2023-05-15

Study on spatial and temporal evolution of ecological risk and ecological zoning identification in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area under the background of urbanization

LI Chao^{1, 2
,},
NIU Wenhao¹,
HUANG Huaiyu^{1, 2},
YAO Shunbo^{1, 2},
GONG Zhiwen^{1, 2
, ,}

1.
College of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University
2.
Centre for Resource Economic and Environmental Management, Northwest A&F University

摘要

摘要:
为揭示粤港澳大湾区城市群30年间土地利用类型转移变化规律，基于1990—2020年共4期Landsat遥感影像，分析研究区生态系统服务价值（ESV）及生态风险值时空演变特征并构建生态功能分区。结果表明：30年间，粤港澳大湾区建设用地面积累计增加5 616 km²，增幅达179%，主要源于林地和耕地的转移变化；ESV在时间上总体呈先增加后减少趋势，在空间上呈中部低、四周高特征；生态风险在时间上呈不断增加趋势，风险等级向中高风险类型转移，在空间上呈中部高、四周低分布特征且表现出一定的空间集聚现象；根据ESV与生态风险值分布，可将研究区划分为严格管控区、重点管控区、一般管控区与生态保护区4种功能生态分区，其中严格管控区面积呈扩大趋势，重点管控区面积呈先增后减趋势，而生态保护区面积呈持续缩小趋势。
- 城市群 /
- 土地利用变化 /
- 生态系统服务价值 /
- 生态风险 /
- 生态分区 /
- 粤港澳大湾区
Abstract:
In order to reveal the transfer and change rule of land use types in the urban agglomeration of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) in the past 30 years, based on four Landsat remote sensing images from 1990 to 2020, the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of ecosystem service value (ESV) and ecological risk value in the study area were analyzed and the ecological function zoning was constructed. The results showed that in the past 30 years, the cumulative increase in construction land area in GBA was 5 616 km², with an increase of 179%, mainly due to the transfer of forest land and cultivated land. ESV generally increased first and then decreased in time, and was spatially low in the middle and high in the surrounding area. Ecological risks were increasing in time, and the risk level was shifting to medium and high-risk types. The ecological risk was spatially characterized by high distribution in the middle and low in the surrounding area and showed a certain spatial agglomeration phenomenon. According to the distribution of ESV and ecological risk value, the research area could be divided into four functional ecological zones: strict control zone, key control zone, general control zone and ecological protection zone. The strict control zone was expanding, the key control zone was increasing first and then decreasing, and the ecological protection zone was shrinking continuously.
- urban agglomeration /
- land use change /
- ecosystem service value /
- ecological risk /
- ecological zoning /
- Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

HTML全文

图 1 粤港澳大湾区行政区划

注：地图底图为GS(2019)1822号，全文同。

Figure 1. Location map of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 2 1990—2020年粤港澳大湾区土地利用转移

注：图例中数字1~6分别表示耕地、林地、草地、水域、建设用地、未利用地，2个数字表示第一种类型土地利用向第二种土地利用类型转移。

Figure 2. Land use transfer in the GBA from 1990 to 2020

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 3 粤港澳大湾区生态系统子服务价值变化

Figure 3. Change of ecosystem sub-service value in the GBA

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 4 1990—2020年粤港澳大湾区生态系统服务价值空间分布

Figure 4. Spatial distribution of ecosystem service value in the GBA from 1990 to 2020

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 5 1990—2020年粤港澳大湾区生态风险等级空间分布

Figure 5. Spatial distribution of ecological risk levels in the GBA from 1990 to 2020

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 6 1990—2020年粤港澳大湾区生态风险空间聚类特征

Figure 6. Spatial clustering characteristics of ecological risks in the GBA from 1990 to 2020

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

图 7 1990—2020年粤港澳大湾区生态分区空间分布

Figure 7. Spatial distribution of ecological zones in the GBA from 1990 to 2020

下载: 全尺寸图片幻灯片

表 1 粤港澳大湾区单位面积生态系统服务价值系数

Table 1. Ecosystem service value coefficients per unit area in the GBA 元/hm²　

服务类型	功能类型	生态系统服务价值
服务类型	功能类型	耕地	林地	草地	水域	建设用地	未利用地
供给服务	食物生产	1 910.52	873.14	657.01	1 383.18	0.00	17.29
	原料生产	423.60	2 005.62	968.23	397.67	0.00	51.87
	水资源供给	−2 256.32	1 037.38	535.98	14 333.24	0.00	34.58
调节服务	气体调节	1 538.79	6 596.06	3 406.09	1 331.31	34.58	190.19
	气候调节	803.97	19 347.29	9 007.98	3 959.36	0.00	172.90
	净化环境	233.41	5 783.44	2 973.85	9 595.84	172.9	535.98
	水文调节	2 584.82	12 915.48	6 604.71	176 770.92	51.87	363.08
支持服务	土壤保持	899.07	8 031.12	4 149.56	1 607.95	34.58	224.77
	维持养分循环	268.00	613.78	311.21	121.03	0.00	17.29
	生物多样性	293.93	7 313.59	3 769.17	4 408.90	34.58	207.47
文化服务	美学景观	129.67	3 207.26	1 659.82	3 267.77	17.29	86.44
合计		6 829.46	67 724.16	34 043.61	217 177.17	345.80	1 901.86

下载: 导出CSV

表 2 1990—2020年粤港澳大湾区单一土地利用类型变化

Table 2. Changes of single land use type in the GBA from 1990 to 2020

土地利用类型	1990—2000年		2000—2010年		2010—2020年		1990—2020年
土地利用类型	数量变化/km²	动态度/%	数量变化/km²	动态度/%	数量变化/km²	动态度/%	数量变化/km²	动态度/%
耕地	−1 476.8	0.93	−1 801.3	−1.25	−2 227.3	−1.76	−5 505.4	−1.15
林地	−281.6	−0.09	−581.7	−0.19	−3 024.1	−1.01	−3 887.5	−0.42
草地	−49.8	−0.39	−123.0	−1.01	1 826.4	16.58	1 653.7	4.33
水域	517.7	1.34	−279.3	−0.64	−146.5	−0.36	91.9	0.08
建设用地	1 323.7	4.21	2 912.6	6.53	1 379.7	1.87	5 616.0	5.96
未利用地	−0.3	−0.12	−12.2	−5.17	−4.5	−3.94	−16.9	−2.37

下载: 导出CSV

表 3 1990—2020年粤港澳大湾区生态系统服务价值的变化

Table 3. Ecosystem service value changes in the GBA from 1990 to 2020 亿元　

土地利用类型	生态系统服务价值				生态系统服务价值变化量
土地利用类型	1990年	2000年	2010年	2020年	1990—2000年	2000—2010年	2010—2020年	1990—2020年
耕地	108.69	98.60	86.30	71.09	−10.09	−12.30	−15.21	−37.60
林地	2 093.58	2 074.51	2 035.11	1 830.31	−19.07	−39.40	−204.81	−263.27
草地	43.37	41.67	37.49	99.66	−1.69	−4.19	62.18	56.30
水域	836.96	949.38	888.73	856.92	112.42	−60.65	−31.81	19.96
建设用地	1.09	1.54	2.55	3.03	0.46	1.01	0.48	1.94
未利用地	0.02	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	−0.02	−0.01	−0.03
合计	3 083.72	3 165.75	3 050.20	2 861.02	82.03	−115.55	−189.19	−222.71

下载: 导出CSV

表 4 粤港澳大湾区生态风险等级面积及占比

Table 4. Areas and proportions of ecological risk grade in the GBA

生态风险等级	1990年		2000年		2010年		2020年
生态风险等级	面积 /10³ km²	占比/%	面积 /10³ km²	占比/%	面积 /10³ km²	占比/%	面积 /10³ km²	占比/%
低风险区	26.73	48.43	26.35	47.73	25.17	45.59	25.63	46.44
较低风险区	12.25	22.19	11.19	20.28	10.35	18.75	9.51	17.22
中风险区	10.00	18.11	8.43	15.27	6.30	11.42	5.97	10.82
较高风险区	3.88	7.03	5.07	9.19	5.71	10.35	4.21	7.63
高风险区	2.34	4.24	4.16	7.53	7.67	13.89	9.88	17.89

下载: 导出CSV

表 5 1990—2020年粤港澳大湾区生态风险值的 I统计量

Table 5. I statistics of ecological risk value of the GBA in 1990 to 2020

年份	I	P*	Z
1990	0.682111	0	60.007596
2000	0.712809	0	62.702843
2010	0.769646	0	67.690184
2020	0.789517	0	69.429529

下载: 导出CSV

参考文献(49)

[1]	吴隽宇, 江伟康, 黄钰婷.粤港澳大湾区生态系统服务价值时空演变研究[J]. 南方建筑,2022(6):52-61. WU J Y, JIANG W K, HUANG Y T. Spatial-temporal changes of ecosystem service value in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao greater bay area[J]. South Architecture,2022(6):52-61.
[2]	COSTANZA R, D'ARGE R, de GROOT R, et al. The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital[J]. Ecological Economics,1998,25(1):3-15. doi: 10.1016/S0921-8009(98)00020-2
[3]	方创琳, 张国友, 薛德升.中国城市群高质量发展与科技协同创新共同体建设[J]. 地理学报,2021,76(12):2898-2908. doi: 10.11821/dlxb202112003 FANG C L, ZHANG G Y, XUE D S. High-quality development of urban agglomerations in China and construction of science and technology collaborative innovation community[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2021,76(12):2898-2908. doi: 10.11821/dlxb202112003
[4]	郑善文, 何永, 欧阳志云.我国城市总体规划生态考量的不足及对策探讨[J]. 规划师,2017,33(5):39-46. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-0022.2017.05.006 ZHENG S W, HE Y, OUYANG Z Y. Inadequate ecological consideration in urban master plan and countermeasures[J]. Planners,2017,33(5):39-46. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-0022.2017.05.006
[5]	赵海燕, 孙妍.城镇化与生态环境协调发展的国际经验及借鉴[J]. 商业经济,2017(3):1-2. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-6043.2017.03.001 ZHAO H Y, SUN Y. International experience of the coordinated development between urbanization and ecological environment and reference[J]. Business Economy,2017(3):1-2. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-6043.2017.03.001
[6]	汪翡翠, 汪东川, 张利辉, 等.京津冀城市群土地利用生态风险的时空变化分析[J]. 生态学报,2018,38(12):4307-4316. WANG F C, WANG D C, ZHANG L H, et al. Spatiotemporal analysis of the dynamic changes in land use ecological risks in the urban agglomeration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei vegion[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2018,38(12):4307-4316.
[7]	方臣, 匡华, 贾琦琪, 等.基于生态系统服务重要性和生态敏感性的武汉市生态安全格局评价[J]. 环境工程技术学报,2022,12(5):1446-1454. FANG C, KUANG H, JIA Q Q, et al. Evaluation of ecological security pattern in Wuhan City based on the importance of ecosystem services and ecological sensitivity[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology,2022,12(5):1446-1454.
[8]	王效科, 欧阳志云, 仁玉芬, 等.城市生态系统长期研究展望[J]. 地球科学进展,2009,24(8):928-935. WANG X K, OUYANG Z Y, REN Y F, et al. Perspectives in long-term studies of urban ecosystem[J]. Advances in Earth Science,2009,24(8):928-935.
[9]	张骞, 高明, 杨乐, 等.1988—2013年重庆市主城九区生态用地空间结构及其生态系统服务价值变化[J]. 生态学报,2017,37(2):566-575. ZHANG Q, GAO M, YANG L, et al. Changes in the spatial structure of ecological land and ecosystem service values in nine key districts of Chongqing City over the past 25 years[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2017,37(2):566-575.
[10]	张慧霞, 庄大昌, 娄全胜.基于土地利用变化的东莞市海岸带生态风险研究[J]. 经济地理,2010,30(3):489-493. ZHANG H X, ZHUANG D C, LOU Q S. Study on ecological risk in coastal zone of Dongguan city based on land use change[J]. Economic Geography,2010,30(3):489-493.
[11]	丘海红, 胡宝清, 张泽.基于土地利用变化的广西近20年生态系统服务价值研究[J]. 环境工程技术学报,2022,12(5):1455-1465. doi: 10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20210352 QIU H H, HU B Q, ZHANG Z. Study on ecosystem service value of Guangxi in the past 20 years based on land use change[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology,2022,12(5):1455-1465. doi: 10.12153/j.issn.1674-991X.20210352
[12]	王宗明, 张柏, 张树清.吉林省生态系统服务价值变化研究[J]. 自然资源学报,2004,19(1):55-61. doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2004.01.007 WANG Z M, ZHANG B, ZHANG S Q. Study on the effects of land use change on ecosystem service values of Jilin Province[J]. Journal of Natural Resources,2004,19(1):55-61. doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2004.01.007
[13]	欧阳志云, 王效科, 苗鸿.中国陆地生态系统服务功能及其生态经济价值的初步研究[J]. 生态学报,1999,19(5):607-613. OUYANG Z Y, WANG X K, MIAO H. A primary study on Chinese terrestrial ecosystem services and their ecological-economic values[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,1999,19(5):607-613.
[14]	谢高地, 甄霖, 鲁春霞, 等.一个基于专家知识的生态系统服务价值化方法[J]. 自然资源学报,2008(05):911-919. XIE G D, ZHEN L, LU C X, et al. Expert knowledge based valuation method of ecosystem service in China[J]. Journal of Natural Resources,2008(05):911-919.
[15]	谢高地, 张彩霞, 张雷明, 等.基于单位面积价值当量因子的生态系统服务价值化方法改进[J]. 自然资源学报,2015,30(8):1243-1254. doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2015.08.001 XIE G D, ZHANG C X, ZHANG L M, et al. Improvement of the evaluation method for ecosystem service value based on per unit area[J]. Journal of Natural Resources,2015,30(8):1243-1254. doi: 10.11849/zrzyxb.2015.08.001
[16]	李屹峰, 罗跃初, 刘纲, 等.土地利用变化对生态系统服务功能的影响: 以密云水库流域为例[J]. 生态学报,2013,33(3):726-736. doi: 10.5846/stxb201205280787 LI Y F, LUO Y C, LIU G, et al. Effects of land use change on ecosystem services: a case study in Miyun Reservoir watershed[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2013,33(3):726-736. doi: 10.5846/stxb201205280787
[17]	邓楚雄, 刘俊宇, 李忠武, 等.近20年国内外生态系统服务研究回顾与解析[J]. 生态环境学报,2019,28(10):2119-2128. DENG C X, LIU J Y, LI Z W, et al. Review and analysis of ecosystem services research between domestic and foreign in recent 20 years[J]. Ecology and Environmental Sciences,2019,28(10):2119-2128.
[18]	郑贱成, 谢炳庚, 游细斌.1980—2020年粤港澳大湾区生境质量变化特征[J]. 经济地理,2022,42(8):41-50. ZHENG J C, XIE B G, YOU X B. Evolution of habitat quality and its influencing factors in the different terrain gradient of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao greater bay area from 1980 to 2020[J]. Economic Geography,2022,42(8):41-50.
[19]	王天福, 龚直文, 邓元杰.基于土地利用变化的陕西省植被碳汇提质增效优先区识别[J]. 自然资源学报,2022,37(5):1214-1232. doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20220508 WANG T F, GONG Z W, DENG Y J. Identification of priority areas for improving quality and efficiency of vegetation carbon sinks in Shaanxi Province based on land use change[J]. Journal of Natural Resources,2022,37(5):1214-1232. doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20220508
[20]	PENG J, WANG X Y, LIU Y X, et al. Urbanization impact on the supply-demand budget of ecosystem services: decoupling analysis[J]. Ecosystem Services,2020,44:101139. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2020.101139
[21]	张天海, 田野, 徐舒, 等.滨海城市土地利用格局演变及对生态系统服务价值的影响[J]. 生态学报,2018,38(21):7572-7581. ZHANG T H, TIAN Y, XU S, et al. The evolvement of land use patterns in coastal cities and its influence on ecosystem service values[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2018,38(21):7572-7581.
[22]	谢丽霞, 白永平, 车磊, 等.基于价值—风险的黄河上游生态功能区生态分区建设[J]. 自然资源学报,2021,36(1):196-207. doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20210113 XIE L X, BAI Y P, CHE L, et al. Construction of ecological zone based on value-risk ecological function area in the Upper Yellow River[J]. Journal of Natural Resources,2021,36(1):196-207. doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20210113
[23]	陈万旭, 李江风, 冉端.长江中游城市群土地利用转型和城镇化之间的空间关系[J]. 长江流域资源与环境,2019,28(5):1036-1048. CHEN W X, LI J F, RAN D. On the spatial relationship between land use transition and urbanization in the middle Yangtze River urban cluster[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin,2019,28(5):1036-1048.
[24]	侯春飞, 韩永伟, 孟晓杰, 等.雄安新区1995—2019年土地利用变化对生态系统服务价值的影响[J]. 环境工程技术学报,2021,11(1):65-73. HOU C F, HAN Y W, MENG X J, et al. Effects of land-use change on ecosystem service values in Xiong'an New Area from 1995 to 2019[J]. Journal of Environmental Engineering Technology,2021,11(1):65-73.
[25]	丁肇慰, 肖能文, 高晓奇, 等.长江流域2000—2015年生态系统质量及服务变化特征[J]. 环境科学研究,2020,33(5):1308-1314. DING Z W, XIAO N W, GAO X Q, et al. Changes of ecosystem quality and services between 2000 and 2015 in Yangtze River Basin[J]. Research of Environmental Sciences,2020,33(5):1308-1314.
[26]	高彬嫔, 李琛, 吴映梅, 等.川滇生态屏障区景观生态风险评价及影响因素[J]. 应用生态学报,2021,32(5):1603-1613. GAO B P, LI C, WU Y M, et al. Landscape ecological risk assessment and influencing factors in ecological conservation area in Sichuan-Yunnan Provinces, China[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2021,32(5):1603-1613.
[27]	刘焱序, 王仰麟, 彭建, 等.基于生态适应性循环三维框架的城市景观生态风险评价[J]. 地理学报,2015,70(7):1052-1067. LIU Y X, WANG Y L, PENG J, et al. Urban landscape ecological risk assessment based on the 3D framework of adaptive cycle[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2015,70(7):1052-1067.
[28]	TANG L, MA W. Assessment and management of urbanization-induced ecological risks[J]. International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology,2018,25(5):383-386.
[29]	王镝, 唐茂钢.土地城市化如何影响生态环境质量: 基于动态最优化和空间自适应半参数模型的分析[J]. 经济研究,2019,54(3):72-85. WANG D, TANG M G. How does land urbanization affect ecological environment quality: analysis based on dynamic optimization and spatially adaptive semi-parametric model[J]. Economic Research Journal,2019,54(3):72-85.
[30]	欧阳晓, 朱翔, 贺清云.城市化与生态系统服务的空间交互关系研究: 以长株潭城市群为例[J]. 生态学报,2019,39(20):7502-7513. OUYANG X, ZHU X, HE Q Y. Spatial interaction between urbanisation and ecosystem services: a case study in Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration, China[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2019,39(20):7502-7513.
[31]	刘志涛, 王少剑, 方创琳.粤港澳大湾区生态系统服务价值的时空演化及其影响机制[J]. 地理学报,2021,76(11):2797-2813. LIU Z T, WANG S J, FANG C L. Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing mechanism of ecosystem service value in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2021,76(11):2797-2813.
[32]	翟紫含, 张杰, 周旭.粤港澳大湾区山水林田湖草生态保护修复相关问题思考[J]. 中国土地,2020(12):26-29. ZHAI Z H, ZHANG J, ZHOU X. Thoughts on ecological protection and restoration of lake grass in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao greater bay area landscape forest field[J]. China Land,2020(12):26-29.
[33]	黄世鑫, 蔡云楠, 梁芳婷.新时期自然生态空间综合管控研究: 以粤港澳大湾区为例[J]. 生态学报,2021,41(23):9196-9206. HUANG S X, CAI Y N, LIANG F T. Comprehensive control of natural ecological space in the new era: a case study of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2021,41(23):9196-9206.
[34]	孙传谆, 王梓辰, 李景刚, 等. 基于生态系统多维特征的粤港澳大湾区国土空间生态保护修复分区研究[J]. 生态学报, 2023, 43(5):2061-2073. SUN C Z, WANG Z C, LI J G, et al. Ecological protection and restoration zoning of territorial space in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area based on multidimensional ecosystem features[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2023, 43(5):2061-2073.
[35]	李琼, 李松林, 白杏, 等.粤港澳大湾区基本公共服务与经济发展耦合协调的时空特征[J]. 地理科学进展,2022,41(9):1688-1701. doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2022.09.011 LI Q, LI S L, BAI X, et al. Spatio-temporal characteristics of the coupling and coordination of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area's basic public services and economic development[J]. Progress in Geography,2022,41(9):1688-1701. doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2022.09.011
[36]	周汝波, 林媚珍, 吴卓, 等.基于生态系统服务重要性的粤港澳大湾区生态安全格局构建[J]. 生态经济,2020,36(7):189-196. ZHOU R B, LIN M Z, WU Z, et al. Construction of ecological security in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao greater bay area from the perspective of importance of ecosystem services[J]. Ecological Economy,2020,36(7):189-196.
[37]	刘纪远, 宁佳, 匡文慧, 等.2010—2015年中国土地利用变化的时空格局与新特征[J]. 地理学报,2018,73(5):789-802. LIU J Y, NING J, KUANG W H, et al. Spatio-temporal patterns and characteristics of land-use change in China during 2010-2015[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2018,73(5):789-802.
[38]	刘纪远, 匡文慧, 张增祥, 等.20世纪80年代末以来中国土地利用变化的基本特征与空间格局[J]. 地理学报,2014,69(1):3-14. LIU J Y, KUANG W H, ZHANG Z X, et al. Spatiotemporal characteristics, patterns and causes of land use changes in China since the late 1980s[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2014,69(1):3-14.
[39]	吴琳娜, 杨胜天, 刘晓燕, 等.1976年以来北洛河流域土地利用变化对人类活动程度的响应[J]. 地理学报,2014,69(1):54-63. WU L N, YANG S T, LIU X Y, et al. Response analysis of land use change to the degree of human activities in Beiluo River Basin since 1976[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2014,69(1):54-63.
[40]	陈相标, 丁文荣, 李孝川.滇中城市群土地利用转型及生态系统服务价值交叉敏感性分析[J]. 水土保持研究,2022,29(6):233-241. CHEN X B, DING W R, LI X C. Analysis of cross-sensitivity of land use transition and ecosystem service value of urban agglomeration in central Yunnan[J]. Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2022,29(6):233-241.
[41]	徐羽, 钟业喜, 冯兴华, 等.鄱阳湖流域土地利用生态风险格局[J]. 生态学报,2016,36(23):7850-7857. XU Y, ZHONG Y X, FENG X H, et al. Ecological risk pattern of Poyang Lake Basin based on land use[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2016,36(23):7850-7857.
[42]	李辉, 周启刚, 李斌, 等.近30年三峡库区生态系统服务价值与生态风险时空变化及相关性研究[J]. 长江流域资源与环境,2021,30(3):654-666. LI H, ZHOU Q G, LI B, et al. Spatiotemporal change and correlation analysis of ecosystem service values and ecological risk in Three Gorges Reservoir area in the past 30 years[J]. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin,2021,30(3):654-666.
[43]	靳诚, 陆玉麒.基于县域单元的江苏省经济空间格局演化[J]. 地理学报,2009,64(6):713-724. JIN C, LU Y Q. Evolvement of spatial pattern of economy in Jiangsu Province at county level[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2009,64(6):713-724.
[44]	张涛, 方宏, 韦玉春, 等.顾及空间自相关性的高分遥感影像中建设用地的变化检测[J]. 自然资源学报,2020,35(4):963-976. doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20200417 ZHANG T, FANG H, WEI Y C, et al. Detection of the construction land change in fine spatial resolution remote sensing imagery coupling spatial autocorrelation[J]. Journal of Natural Resources,2020,35(4):963-976. doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20200417
[45]	彭玮, 龚俊梅.基于系统聚类法的返贫风险预警机制分析[J]. 江汉论坛,2021(12):23-31. PENG W, GONG J M. Analysis of early warning mechanism of returning to poverty risk based on systematic clustering method[J]. Jianghan Tribune,2021(12):23-31.
[46]	杨海泉, 胡毅, 王秋香.2001—2012年中国三大城市群土地利用效率评价研究[J]. 地理科学,2015,35(9):1095-1100. YANG H Q, HU Y, WANG Q X. Evaluation of land use efficiency in three major urban agglomerations of China in 2001-2012[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica,2015,35(9):1095-1100.
[47]	张杰, 李清泉, 吴祥茵, 等.基于土地利用的粤港澳大湾区生态系统服务价值及承载力演变分析[J]. 生态学报,2021,41(21):8375-8386. ZHANG J, LI Q Q, WU X Y, et al. Evolution of the ecosystem services value and carrying capacity in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area based on land use changes[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2021,41(21):8375-8386.
[48]	刘芳锐, 张正栋, 王欣怡, 等. 粤港澳大湾区生态系统健康时空变化及其对城镇化的响应[J]. 生态学报, 2023, 43(7):2594-2604. LIU F R, ZHANG Z D, WANG X Y, et al. Spatio-temporal variation of ecosystem health and its response to urbanization in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2023, 43(7):2594-2604.
[49]	苗培培, 赵祖军, 赵筱青, 等.云南典型石漠化区生态系统服务权衡与协同研究[J]. 水土保持研究,2021,28(4):366-374. MIAO P P, ZHAO Z J, ZHAO X Q, et al. Study on trade-off and cooperation of ecosystem service space in rocky desertification area of Yunnan Province[J]. Research of Soil and Water Conservation,2021,28(4):366-374. ⊕